INTRODUCTION
The civil aviation industry in India has emerged as one of the fastest growing industries in the country during the last three years. India has become the third largest domestic aviation market in the world and is expected to overtake UK to become the third largest air passenger* market by 2024^.
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MARKET SIZE
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India is expected to overtake China and the United States as the world's third-largest air passenger market in the next ten years, by 2030, according to the International Air Transport Association (IATA).
India’s passenger* traffic stood at 131.62 million in FY22 (from April to December 2021). Domestic passenger and international passenger traffic declined at a CAGR of -9.02% and -28.64%, respectively, from FY16 to FY21, owing to C9.0OVID-19-related restrictions on flights in FY21 however they are recovering. In FY21, airports in India pegged the domestic passenger traffic to be ~105.2 million, a 61.7% YoY decline, and international passenger traffic to be ~10.1 million, an 84.8% YoY decline, over the fiscal year ended March 31, 2020. In October 2021, the average daily domestic passenger flight departures stood at >5,857, with average daily domestic traffic being >7,00,000 air passengers.
Between FY16 and FY21, freight traffic declined at a CAGR of -1.77% from 2.70 million tonnes (MT) to 2.47 MT. Freight traffic on airports in India has the potential to reach 17 MT by FY40.
Aircraft movement declined at a CAGR of -7.79% from 1.60 million in FY16 to 1.20 million in FY21. From FY16 to FY21, domestic aircraft movement decreased at a CAGR of -6.44% and international aircraft movement declined at a CAGR of -18.52%. India’s domestic and international aircraft movements reached 1,062 thousand and 135 thousand, respectively, in FY21.
To cater to the rising air traffic, the Government of India has been working towards increasing the number of airports. As of 2020, India had 153 operational airports. India has envisaged increasing the number of operational airports to 190-200 by FY40
Further, the rising demand in the sector has pushed the number of airplanes operating in the sector. The number of airplanes is expected to reach 1,100 planes by 2027.
INVESTMENTS
According to the data released by the Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade (DPIIT), FDI inflow in India’s air transport sector (including air freight) reached US$ 3.06 billion between April 2000 and June 2021. The government has allowed 100% FDI under the automatic route in scheduled air transport service, regional air transport service and domestic scheduled passenger airline. However, FDI over 49% would require government approval.
IndiGo signed an agreement to investigate the possibility of using sustainable fuel in planes in July 2021.
Raghu Vamsi plans to build a US$ 15 million facility in Hyderabad to meet Boeing's needs as of August 2021.
In August 2021, SpiceJet will introduce 16 new flights.
Rare Enterprises, in partnership with former CEOs of IndiGo and Jet Airways, plans to start an ultra-low-cost airline to capitalise on the domestic air travel demand in 2021.
India’s aviation industry is expected to witness Rs. 35,000 crore (US$ 4.99 billion) investment in the next four years. The Indian Government is planning to invest US$ 1.83 billion for development of airport infrastructure along with aviation navigation services by 2026.
Key investments and developments in India’s aviation industry include:
- In February 2022, the Airports Authority of India (AAI) and other airport developers have set a capital outlay target of Rs. 91,000 crore (US$ 12.08 billion) for the development of the airport industry.
- In October 2021, Tata Sons won the bid to acquire state-run Air India by offering Rs. 18,000 crore (US$ 2.4 billion) to acquire 100% shares.
- In October 2021, Akasa Air, a start-up airline, received a ‘No Objection’ certificate from the Ministry of Civil Aviation to launch operations. The start-up plans to commence its operations from mid-2022.
- In September 2021, JetSetGo, a private aviation company, plans to make its flight operations carbon neutral by 2024 through a carbon management programme.
- In August 2021, Indira Gandhi International Airport was declared the best airport in India and Central Asia at Skytrax World Airport Awards.
- In June 2021, SpiceJet announced its ambitious target to fly 100 million domestic passengers on Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) blend by 2030 under the aegis of World Economic Forum (WEF).
- In April 2021, Boeing, an aircraft manufacturer, announced that it has partnered with the Indian Aviation Academy (IAA) and the University of Southern California (USC) to conduct safety management system training sessions for all stakeholders in the domestic aviation industry.
- In March 2021, the government announced plan to set up two water aerodroames in Assam and four water aerodromes in Andaman & Nicobar Islands this year to boost tourism and connectivity.
- In March 2021, the government submitted a proposal to develop a water aerodrome project at the Ujjani Dam, under the Ministry of Civil Aviation’s UDAN-RCS (regional connectivity scheme).
- On March 25, 2021, Union Minister of Civil Aviation Hardeep Singh Puri inaugurated the Kurnool Airport, Orvakal, Andhra Pradesh, in a virtual ceremony. The flight operations at Kurnool airport will commence on March 28, 2021 under the Regional Connectivity Scheme – Ude Desh Ka Aam Nagrik (RCS-UDAN). UDAN flights carried 34,38,955 passengers till 7th November 2021.
- According to WTTC, India ranked 7th among 185 countries in terms of travel & tourism’s total contribution (4.7%) to the GDP in 2020. The contribution was worth US$ 121.9 billion.
- AAI plans to invest Rs. 25,000 crore (US$ 3.58 billion) in next the five years to augment facilities and infrastructure at airports.
- UK group to invest Rs. 950 crore (US$ 135.9 million) in Turbo Aviation's new airline TruStar.
GOVERNMENT INITIATIVES
Some major initiatives undertaken by the Government are:
- The Ministry of Civil Aviation (MoCA) announced that airlines can operate domestic flights without any capacity restriction, effective from October 18, 2021.
- In October 2021, the Union Minister of Civil Aviation, Mr. Jyotiraditya M. Scindia, virtually flagged off the first direct flight along the Shillong–Dibrugarh route, under the RCS-UDAN (Regional Connectivity Scheme - Ude Desh Ka Aam Naagrik) scheme.
- Ministry of Civil Aviation launched the Krishi UDAN 2.0 scheme in October 2021. The scheme proposes assistance and incentive for movement of agri-produce by air transportation. The Krishi UDAN 2.0 will be implemented at 53 airports across the country, largely focusing on Northeast and tribal regions, and is expected to benefit farmers, freight forwarders and airlines.
- On October 20, 2021, Prime Minister Mr. Narendra Modi inaugurated the Kushinagar International Airport in Uttar Pradesh. The international airport is likely to facilitate the air travel requirements of international Buddhist pilgrims in India.
- In August 2021, the government plans to implement a biometric boarding system using facial technology in six airports, including Bengaluru, Hyderabad and Pune. The project is currently in the testing phase.
- The Ministry of Civil Aviation (MoCA) increased capacity of domestic flights to 65%, from 50%, effective from July 05, 2021.
- The Ministry of Civil Aviation (MoCA) is hopeful that aspiring commercial pilots will soon be able to get trained in India without having to leave the country. In this regard, the government in July 2021 announced setting up eight new flying academies across the following five airports: Belagavi and Kalaburagi in Karnataka, Jalgaon in Maharashtra, Khajuraho in Madhya Pradesh, and Lilabari in Assam.
- On May 08, 2021, AAI commenced commercial operations at Rupsi airport—Northeast India’s 15th airport and Assam’s 7th airport.
- In March 2021, on the launch of the ‘Azadi Ka Amrit Mahotsav (India@75)’ by the Government of India, the Ministry of Civil Aviation (MoCA) has proposed 392 routes under the UDAN 4.1 bidding process.
- The Airport Authority of India plans to abolish royalty and offer steep discounts in lease rent to encourage MRO units to set up facilities at its airports.
- The government is planning to start 14 more water aerodromes across the country, after the successful launch of seaplane service by Prime Minister, Mr. Narendra Modi, between the Statue of Unity near Kevadiya in Gujarat's Narmada district and Sabarmati Riverfront in Ahmedabad in October 2020.
- Under Union Budget 2021-22, the government lowered the custom duty from 2.5% to 0% on components or parts, including engines, for manufacturing of aircrafts by public sector units of the Ministry of Defence.
- Under Union Budget 2021-22, the Indian government expanded the scope for ‘Krishi Udaan’ in convergence with Operation Green Scheme, wherein air freight subsidy of 50% for agri-perishables would be provided to North East states and 4 Himalayan states/UTs. The expansion of product-coverage will boost the ‘Krishi Udaan’ scheme and improve air cargo transportation from these states.
- Regional Connectivity Scheme (RCS) has been launched.
- For a better execution of the PM-Gati Shakti vision, Minister of Civil Aviation Mr. Jyotiraditya M. Scindia asks for synergy between the Central and State Governments to build 16 new airports in Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Maharashtra.
ACHIEVEMENTS
Following are achievements of the Government:
- 3,13,668 domestic passengers flew on February 28, 2021—the highest number since resumption of domestic flights on May 25, 2020.
- Under RCS-Udan scheme, approximately 34,74,000 passengers were flown and 335 routes were awarded during 2019, covering 33 airports (20 unserved, 3 underserved, 10 water aerodromes).
- As of November 29, 2021, 1.83 crore Indians have been repatriated under the Vande Bharat Mission (VBM). The Vande Bharat Mission operated about 2,17,000 flights.
ROAD AHEAD
India’s aviation industry is largely untapped with huge growth opportunities, considering that air transport is still expensive for majority of the country’s population, of which nearly 40% is the upwardly mobile middle class.
The industry stakeholders should engage and collaborate with policy makers to implement efficient and rational decisions that would boost India’s civil aviation industry. With the right policies and relentless focus on quality, cost and passenger interest, India would be well placed to achieve its vision of becoming the third-largest aviation market by 2020. The expenditure of Indian travellers is expected to grow up to Rs. 9.5 lakh crore (US$ 136 billion) by 2021. Due to rise in demand in air travel, India will need 2,380 new commercial airplanes by 2038. According to a report titled ‘Travel market in India’, published by RedCore—a RedSeer unit focusing on early-stage companies— the travel market in India, worth ~ US$ 75 billion in FY20, is projected to cross US$ 125 billion by FY27.
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References:References: Media Reports, Press Releases, Press Information Bureau, Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA), Airports Authority of India (AAI), Union Budget 2021-22
Note:Conversion rate used in February 2022, Rs. 1 = US$ 0.0134
Note:*-International and Domestic, ^ - As per International Air Transport Association (IATA) forecasts
Disclaimer: This information has been collected through secondary research and IBEF is not responsible for any errors in the same.
Agriculture Clusters
- Delhi
- Mumbai
- Chennai
- Bengaluru
- Kolkata
- Hyderabad
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Industry Contacts
- Airports Authority of India (AAI)
- Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA)